Massive Parallelism and Massive Storage:
Trends and Predictions for 1995 to 2000

This talk predicts the trends in Massively Parallel Processors (MPP) 
and Massive Storage Systems (MSS) from the middle to the end of 
this decade. Both MPP and MSS are composed of independent 
technologies that are improving at different rates. To predict the 
future of MPP and MSS, I track the history, current trends, and 
predict the future of these technologies. Interspersed between such 
projections are observations that place the rapid advances into 
perspective; for example, how fast is a workstation compared to a 
Cray 1? And how many IBM mainframe disks from 1985 are needed 
to have the same capacity as the main memory of workstations in 
2001? Finally, I conclude each portion of the talk with predictions: 
a new competitor that may threaten the very existence of the MPP 
industry and a prediction about the relative importance of MSS and MPP.
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This talk was given as the keynote address for the Second 
International Conference On Parallel And Distributed Information 
Systems on January 21, 1993 in San Diego, California.